EuroFlu - Weekly Electronic Bulletin
Week 45 : 02/11/2009-08/11/2009 13 November 2009, Issue N° 331

Further increase in detections of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 in the WHO European Region. Seven countries report very high influenza activity

Key points: week 45/2009
  • This report is based on material received from 43 of the 53 Member States in the WHO European Region and includes an update of the situation in Ukraine.
  • On average, 45% of specimens collected from sentinel sources in the Region tested positive for influenza virus.
  • The incidence of clinical respiratory illness has increased in 17 countries over the past three weeks, and for eight of these the proportion of sentinel specimens testing positive for influenza this week was 20% or greater.
  • Notably, countries in Scandinavia, eastern Europe and south-eastern Europe reported high or very high intensity of influenza.
  • Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 was dominant in 36 countries and accounted for 99.7% of influenza A virus subtype detections.
  • Most influenza pandemic cases have resolved without complications. From 5 to 12 November, 18 countries reported a total of 145 deaths involving laboratory-confirmed cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus infection.
Ukraine

There have been 174 deaths due to acute respiratory infection (ARI) reported from Ukraine and 344 people are currently in intensive care units, 45 of whom are on mechanical ventilation. Rates of ARI are at a higher level than any reported for six years and in some regions for 13 years.

Current situation: week 45/2009

Seventeen countries have reported increases in influenza-like illness (ILI) and/or ARI consultations (defined as countries with increases in the previous three weeks). These increases are particularly notable in the group aged 5–14 years. In eight of these countries (Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Republic of Moldova, Romania, Slovakia, Spain and Sweden), the positivity rate of sentinel swab specimens exceeded 20% (minimum number of tested sentinel specimens: 20).

The intensity of clinical activity was described as very high in Norway, Sweden, Bulgaria and the Republic of Moldova for the first time. Other countries reporting continued very high intensity this week were Iceland, Ireland and the Russian Federation (Urals region and far eastern region). Eight countries/regions described high clinical activity: Belarus, Finland, Kazakhstan, Poland, Russian Federation (central, north-western, Siberian and Volga region), Turkey, Ukraine and Northern Ireland. The clinical incidence of ILI and/or ARI was reported as widespread in 19 countries. The Republic of Moldova reported very high intensity, widespread clinical incidence and severe impact of influenza on health services. Impact was reported as moderate in nine countries, including Ukraine, and low in 17 others. For an overview of the season so far, click here.

Increased clinical illness was reported in Bulgaria and the Republic of Moldova. In Bulgaria, incidence rates were above the epidemic threshold in 10 out of 28 regions. The incidence was highest in children. Current rates are similar to those reported in the 2006-2007 influenza season. For the Republic of Moldova, 555 specimens out of 1141 tested were positive for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 (including five fatal cases).

While clinical influenza activity has increased over the past weeks in 17 countries, it has passed its peak in Belgium, Iceland, and Ireland, and has levelled off or passed its peak in the United Kingdom. Low or medium levels of influenza activity are reported in southern Russian Federation, Azerbaijan, Georgia, the Baltic states, the Czech Republic and Slovakia and in most of these countries incidence is increasing.

In the period 5–12 November, 18 countries reported 145 new deaths associated with laboratory-confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009, raising the total since April 2009 from 326 to 471. The deaths were in Bulgaria (9), Croatia (2), Finland (5), France (4), Germany (3), Greece (2), Hungary (1), Ireland (2), Israel (8), Italy (34), the Netherlands (13), Norway (3), the Republic of Moldova (3), Serbia (6), Slovenia (1), Sweden (1), Turkey (31) and the United Kingdom (17).

Virological update: week 45/2009

Of the 27 countries testing 20 or more sentinel specimens this week, influenza-positive rates ranged from 3.5% (Georgia) to 68.3% (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Ten of these countries reported rates greater than 50%. Sentinel physicians in the Region collected 4129 respiratory specimens in week 45/2009, of which 1853 (45%) were positive for influenza virus. Of the 1853 influenza-virus detections, 1845 were type A (1781 pandemic A(H1) and 64 not subtyped) and 8 were type B.

In addition, 11 311 non-sentinel-source specimens were reported positive for influenza virus in week 45/2009: 11 292 type A (9682 pandemic A(H1), 25 A(H3), 14 seasonal A(H1), 1571 not subtyped) and 19 type B.

Of the total 36 087 specimens that have tested positive for influenza virus since week 40/2009, 30 308 (84%) were pandemic influenza A(H1) and these accounted for 99% of all influenza A viruses that were subtyped. In addition, 213 were seasonal influenza A(H1); 113 were influenza A(H3); 5366 were influenza A not subtyped; and 87 were influenza B. The number of influenza detections has risen sharply each week from about 1600 in week 40/2009 to over 13 000 in week 45/2009.

Comment

A total of 14 countries have reported high or very high intensity of influenza activity. A generally increasing trend in clinical data is confirmed by an increase in virological influenza detections. Notably, countries in Scandinavia, and eastern and south-eastern Europe are affected by the pandemic. Influenza detections far exceed historical peaks and indicate a surge of work in the laboratories in several countries. The pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus is dominant and continues to account for high levels of influenza activity for the time of year. Reports are widespread of pressure on intensive care facilities.

As of week 45/2009, 16 countries have started pandemic influenza vaccination campaigns. Reports of adverse events are fewer than reported for seasonal influenza vaccination and most events are mild local or systemic reactions. Eight countries in the Region are eligible to receive vaccine donated to WHO and this will begin by late November or early December 2009.

Further information

The EuroFlu bulletin describes and comments on influenza activity in the 53 countries in the WHO European Region. Further information can be obtained from the WHO/Europe and WHO headquarters web sites.

Erratum: The percentage positive for Denmark in the table below is incorrect. A total of 38 sentinel specimens were collected of which 22 (58%) were positive for pandemic (H1N1) 2009.



Map

The map presents the qualitative indicators of influenza activity (intensity, trend, geographical spread and impact) and the dominant virus as assessed by each of the countries.

Clicking on the map will, if available, take you through to the national web site. If 'regional' activity is reported, a pop-up text box will appear which describes the activity in greater detail.

Clicking on France, Russian Federation, Turkey and United Kingdom (England) will provide you with regional data.

Northern Ireland Iceland Denmark Norway Norway Sweden Sweden Denmark Scotland Scotland Finland Sweden England England England England Wales Ireland The Netherlands Belgium France France Switzerland Germany Germany Bulgaria Czech Republic Slovakia Slovenia Poland Poland Hungary France Italy Italy Italy Italy Italy Spain Spain Spain Spain Spain Portugal Portugal (Azores) Greece Estonia Albania FYROM Turkey Turkey Finland Finland Finland Romania Romania Malta Cyprus Austria Croatia Boznia and Herzegovina Montenegro Serbia Lithuania Luxembourg Latvia Denmark Norway
Type of map :   Intensity + virological          Geographical spread + virological          Impact
Europe Year 2009 / Week 45


A = Dominant virus A
H1N1 = Dominant virus A(H1N1)
H3N2 = Dominant virus A(H3N2)
H1N2 = Dominant virus A(H1N2)
B = Dominant virus B
A & B = Dominant virus A & B

= : stable clinical activity
+ : increasing clinical activity
- : decreasing clinical activity

Low = no influenza activity or influenza at baseline levels
Medium = usual levels of influenza activity
High = higher than usual levels of influenza activity
Very high = particularly severe levels of influenza activity

No activity = no laboratory-confirmed case(s) of influenza, or evidence of increased or unusual respiratory disease activity.
Sporadic = isolated cases of laboratory confirmed influenza infection
Localized = limited to one administrative unit of the country (or reporting site) only.
Regional = appearing in multiple but <50% of the administrative units of the country (or reporting sites).
Widespread = appearing in ≥50% of the administrative units of the country (or reporting sites).

Network comments (where available)

 
Table and graphs (where available)

Intensity Geographic
Spread
Impact Sentinel
swabs
Percentage
positive
Dominant
type
ILI per
100,000
ARI per
100,000
Virology graph
and pie chart
AustriaLowWidespreadLow6417.2%Type A, Subtype pH1N11436.6 (graphs)Click here
AzerbaijanMediumLocalLow1586.3%Type A, Subtype pH1N1 (graphs)Click here
BelarusHighWidespreadModerate3278.2 (graphs)Click here
BelgiumMediumWidespreadLow21767.7%Type A, Subtype pH1488.8 (graphs)1536.0 (graphs)Click here
Bosnia and Herzegovina4168.3%Type A, Subtype pH1 (graphs)Click here
BulgariaVery HighWidespreadType A, Subtype pH12636.9 (graphs)Click here
CroatiaLowWidespreadLow27.6 (graphs)Click here
CyprusNone (graphs)Click here
Czech RepublicLowLocal55.3 (graphs)1120.3 (graphs)Click here
DenmarkMediumWidespread38100.0%Type A, Subtype pH1N1197.2 (graphs)Click here
EnglandMediumWidespread21126.5%Type A, Subtype pH1N136.0 (graphs)438.1 (graphs)Click here
EstoniaMediumLocalModerate3661.1%Type A, Subtype pH1N114.0 (graphs)288.0 (graphs)Click here
FinlandHighWidespread13664.0%Type A, Subtype pH1 (graphs)Click here
FranceMediumRegionalLow1743.2 (graphs)Click here
GeorgiaMediumLocalLow573.5%Type A, Subtype pH1184.2 (graphs)Click here
GermanyMediumWidespreadLow34548.7%Type A, Subtype pH1N11501.1 (graphs)Click here
GreeceMediumNone4858.3%Type A, Subtype pH1N1162.5 (graphs)Click here
HungaryLowLocalLow8615.1%Type A, Subtype pH1 (graphs)Click here
IcelandVery HighWidespread10927.5%None249.7 (graphs)Click here
IrelandVery HighWidespreadModerate10935.8%Type A, Subtype pH1N1174.8 (graphs)Click here
IsraelMediumWidespreadLowType A, Subtype pH1170.2 (graphs)Click here
ItalyType A, Subtype pH1N1 (graphs)Click here
KazakhstanHighRegionalModerate4537.8%Type A (graphs)Click here
Kyrgyzstan00%Type A, Subtype pH1 (graphs)Click here
LatviaLowSporadic3100.0%Type A, Subtype pH10.9 (graphs)949.3 (graphs)Click here
LithuaniaLowSporadicLow1464.3%Type A, Subtype pH1 (graphs)Click here
Luxembourg5743.9%Type A, Subtype pH1 (graphs)Click here
NetherlandsMediumWidespreadLow9245.7%Type A, Subtype pH1154.2 (graphs)Click here
Northern IrelandHighSporadic5945.8%Type A, Subtype pH1221.0 (graphs)Click here
NorwayVery HighWidespreadModerate6457.8%Type A, Subtype pH1N1683.3 (graphs)Click here
PolandHighRegionalLow15411.7%Type A, Subtype pH1125.1 (graphs)Click here
PortugalMediumRegional1957.9%Type A, Subtype pH159.2 (graphs)Click here
Republic of MoldovaVery HighWidespreadSevere60758.5%Type A, Subtype pH18.4 (graphs)452.6 (graphs)Click here
RomaniaMediumRegionalModerate33728.2%Type A, Subtype pH14.5 (graphs)1524.4 (graphs)Click here
Russian FederationHighWidespreadType A, Subtype pH11169.9 (graphs)Click here
ScotlandLowLocal49.4 (graphs)Click here
SerbiaHighRegionalLow00%Type A, Subtype pH1265.6 (graphs)Click here
SlovakiaLowSporadicLow2250.0%Type A, Subtype pH1325.0 (graphs)2098.9 (graphs)Click here
SloveniaMediumLocal4953.1%Type A, Subtype pH117.1 (graphs)1043.7 (graphs)Click here
SpainMediumWidespread68361.1%Type A, Subtype pH1N1343.1 (graphs)Click here
SwedenVery HighWidespreadModerate18433.7%Type A, Subtype pH126.7 (graphs)Click here
SwitzerlandMediumWidespreadLow7722.1%Type A, Subtype pH185.9 (graphs)Click here
TurkeyHighRegionalModerate57.4 (graphs)Click here
UkraineHighRegionalModerateType A, Subtype pH11501.1 (graphs)Click here
UzbekistanLowNoneLowNone41.6 (graphs)Click here
WalesMediumWidespreadLow825.0%Type A, Subtype pH165.8 (graphs)Click here
Europe412944.9% Click here
Preliminary data

Intensity: Low = no influenza activity or influenza activity at baseline level; Medium= usual levels of influenza activity; High = higher than usual levels of influenza activity; Very high = particularly severe levels of influenza activity.
Percentage positive: percentage of sentinel swabs that tested positive for influenza A or B
Dominant type: this assessment is based on data from sentinel and non-sentinel sources
ARI: acute respiratory infection
ILI: influenza-like illness
Population: per 100,000 population

The bulletin text was written by an editorial team at the WHO Regional Office for Europe (Caroline Brown and Joshua Mott), the Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research (NIVEL; John Paget and Tamara Meerhoff, Temporary Advisers to WHO) and the WHO Collaborating Centre for reference and research on influenza, Mill Hill, UK (Rod Daniels). The bulletin was reviewed by Douglas Fleming (Royal College of General Practitioners, UK), Lars Nielsen (Statens Serum Institute, Denmark) and Anne Mosnier (Open Rome, France) on behalf of the data contributors.

Neither the World Health Organization (WHO), nor any person acting on its behalf, is liable for the use that may be made of the information contained in this bulletin. Maps and commentary used in this bulletin do not imply any opinions whatsoever on the part of WHO or its partners about the legal status of the countries and territories shown or about their borders.
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